Expertise and decision support
- 其他作者: Wright, George, , Bolger, Fergus.
- 出版: New York : Plenum Press ©1992.
- 稽核項: 1 online resource (xiv, 273 pages) :illustrations.
- 叢書名: The Language of science
- 標題: politicologie , Electronic books. , Decision support systems. , bedrijfswetenschap , psychologie , Datenverarbeitung , Entscheidungsverhalten , computerwetenschappen , Decision making. , Judgment. , Psychologie (algemeen) , computer sciences , political science , SELF-HELP , SELF-HELP Motivational & Inspirational. , psychology , Experte , Entscheidungsprozess , management science , Entscheidungsunterstützungssystem , Motivational & Inspirational. , Expertise. , Psychology (General) , Urteilen , Besliskunde. , Decision making , Aufsatzsammlung
- ISBN: 0585342903 , 9780585342900
- ISBN: 0306438623 , 9780306438622
- 試查全文@TNUA:
- 附註: Includes bibliographical references and index. The psychology of experts : an alternative view / James Shanteau -- Improving decisions and judgments : the desirable versus the feasible / Gideon Keren -- Reliability and validity in expert judgment / Fergus Bolger and George Wright -- On the competence and incompetence of experts / Peter Ayton -- Epistemic strategies : causal thinking in expert and nonexpert judgment / Lee Roy Beach -- Sociological perspectives on the nature of expertise / Andrew Sturdy, Innes Newman, and Peter Nicholls -- Perspectives on expertise in the aggregation of judgments / Gene Rowe -- Decision conferencing : a unique approach to the behavioral aggregation of expert judgment / Patricia Reagan-Cirincione and John Rohrbaugh -- Knowledge engineering issues for decision support / John Gammack. Human expertise, statistical models, and knowledge-based systems / Dominic A. Clark -- Synthesis of expert judgment and statistical forecasting models for decision support / Derek Bunn.
- 摘要: Using a multidisciplinary approach, this work focuses on expert judgement and its interaction with decision support systems. It is of interest to both academics and forecasting practitioners.
- 電子資源: https://dbs.tnua.edu.tw/login?url=https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=39647
- 系統號: 005293849
- 資料類型: 電子書
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- 引用網址: 複製連結
This volume brings together a range of contributors from Europe and North America. All contributions were especially commissioned with a view to e- cidating a major multidisciplinary topic that is of concern to both academics and practitioners. The focus of the book is on expert judgment and its interaction with decision support systems. In the first part, the nature of expertise is discussed and characteristics of expert judges are described. Issues concemed with the eval- tion of judgment in the psychological laboratory are assessed and contrasted with studies of expert judgment in ecologically valid contexts. In addition, issues concerned with eliciting and validating expert knowledge are discussed. Dem- strations of good judgmental performance are linked to situational factors such as feedback cycles, and measurement of coherence and reliability in expert ju- ment is introduced as a baseline determinant of good judgmental performance. Issues concerned with the representation of elicited expert knowledge in kno- edge-based systems are evaluated and methods are described that have been shown to produce improvements in judgmental performance. Behavioral and mathematical ways of combining judgments from multiple experts are compared and contrasted. Finally, the issues developed in the preceding contributions are focused on current controversies in decision support. Expert judgment is utilized as a major input into decision analysis, forecasting with statistical models, and expert s- tems.
來源: Google Book
來源: Google Book
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