The class of 2014 :preserving access to California higher education
- 作者: Park, George S.
- 其他作者: Lempert, Robert J. , Rand Education (Institute)
- 出版: Santa Monica : Rand 1998.
- 稽核項: 1 online resource (xv, 64 pages) :illustrations (some color).
- 標題: Social Sciences. , Theory & Practice of Education. , Government aid to higher education California -- Forecasting. , Universities and colleges Admission -- Forecasting. , Universities and colleges , California. , EDUCATION Higher. , College attendance California -- Forecasting. , Government aid to higher education Forecasting. , Electronic book. , Education, Higher , Government aid to higher education , Universities and colleges California -- Admission -- Forecasting. , Higher. , Electronic books. , Forecasting. , AdmissionForecasting. , Education, Higher United States -- Costs -- Forecasting. , College attendance , Education. , United States. , CostsForecasting. , EDUCATION , College attendance Forecasting.
- ISBN: 0833026143 , 9780833026149
- 試查全文@TNUA:
- 附註: "MR-971-EDU"--Page 4 of cover. Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-64).
- 摘要: Discusses a study that used a new approach to address the conditions under which California can preserve access to public higher education over the next two decades. The new approach, exploratory modeling, abandons the best-estimate method, instead combining traditional quantitative forecasting with scenario planning to produce, via computer simulation and data similar to those used in other studies, plausible scenarios of the future that clarify key uncertainties facing decisionmakers and provide a framework for stakeholder debate and policy-choice comparison. Presents the scenarios in color-illustrated form, called landscapes of plausible futures, to examine how the interrelationship of three key factors -- demand for higher education, competition for state revenues, and potential productivity improvements -- may affect California higher education. Shows that trends in state funding and productivity improvements dominate the question of future access. Points out that these landscapes could be used in a further study to compare the performance of potential policy choices as a way to determine the best policies to pursue.
- 電子資源: https://dbs.tnua.edu.tw/login?url=https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=48003
- 系統號: 005294156
- 資料類型: 電子書
- 讀者標籤: 需登入
- 引用網址: 複製連結
California's abiltiy to preserve current levels of access to its system of higher education is threatened by increasing enrollments, pressures on the state budgets, and the increasing costs of higher education. This study addresses the conditions under which California can preserve access over the next two decades. The study uses a new approach to decision making under uncertainty, called exploratory modeling, that combines traditional quantitative forecasting techniques with insights from scenario planning. This new approach provides visual representations, called landscapes of plausible futures, of the many scenarios facing California higher education, so that decision makers and stakeholders can better understand the assumptions underlying various positions in the political debate and which trends are most salient to decision makers' choices.
來源: Google Book
來源: Google Book
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