附註:Includes bibliographical references and index.
The county-level model -- Simulated epidemics -- Vaccination strategies -- Bifurcation and epidemic quenching -- A balanced policy -- Research conducted under the auspices of the smallpox modeling working group -- Further research.
摘要:"Toward a Containment Strategy for Smallpox Bioterror describes the scientific results and policy implications of a simulation of a smallpox epidemic in a two-town country. The model was developed by an interdisciplinary team from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and the Brookings Institution Center on Social and Economic Dynamics, employing agent-based and other advanced computational techniques. Such models are playing a critical role in the crafting of a national strategy for the containment of smallpox by providing public health policymakers with a variety of novel and feasible approaches to vaccination and isolation under different circumstances. The extension of these techniques to the containment of emerging pathogens, such as SARS, is discussed."--Jacket
