附註:Prepared for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
Includes bibliographical references and indexes.
New Vaccine Development Establishing Priorities -- Copyright -- Acknowledgements -- Preface -- Abstract -- Contents -- Summary -- SELECTION OF CANDIDATES -- DETERMINATION OF HEALTH BENEFITS -- Disease Burden Estimates -- Infant Mortality Equivalence Values -- Total Disease Burden Values -- VACCINE CHARACTERISTICS -- Predictions of Vaccine Development -- Definition of Probable Vaccine Target Population -- Treatment of Vaccine Utilization -- Estimation of Time to Licensure, Time to Vaccine Adoption, and Delay of Vaccination Benefits: Discou ...
Estimation of Vaccine Preventable IllnessCalculation of Potential Health Benefits for Each Vaccine -- Cost Calculations -- INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS -- FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS -- REFERENCE -- 2 Priority Setting for Health-Related Investments: A Review of Methods -- METHODS FOR PROJECT RANKING AND SELECTION -- MULTIATTRIBUTE ACCOUNTING -- MULTIATTRIBUTE SCORING -- DECISION ANALYSIS WITH MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES -- COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND COST-UTILITY ANALYSIS -- BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS -- SELECTION OF AN APPROACH
ISSUES IN PROJECT RANKING METHODOLOGIESSources of Estimates -- Sequential or “Lexicographic� Methods -- Interdependence Among Projects -- The “Portfolio� Question -- SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- 3 Overview of the Analytic Approach -- METHOD -- Calculation Procedures -- INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS -- GUIDELINES -- Step 1 -- Step 2 -- SUMMARY -- REFERENCE -- 4 Comparison of Disease Burdens -- ELEMENTS OF THE SYSTEM FOR COMPARING MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY BURDENS ARISING FROM VARIOUS DISEASES -- Trade-Off Values
Expression of Morbidity and Mortality BurdensProcedures Used in Deriving Disease Estimates -- Limitations of the Current Estimates -- VALUE JUDGMENTS IN QUANTIFYING MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY -- IME Perspective Used in This Study -- The Effect of Adopting Other IME Perspectives -- COMPARISON OF COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH DISEASES -- Estimating Aggregate Direct Costs of Diseases in the Developing World -- Estimating Costs for Diseases in Specific Countries or Regions -- Indirect Costs -- FINDINGS -- LIMITATIONS OF THE PROPOSED SYSTEM -- SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
RECOMMENDATIONSREFERENCES -- 5 Predictions on Vaccine Development -- THE NEED FOR PREDICTIONS -- SELECTION OF CANDIDATES -- VACCINE CANDIDATES AND TARGET POPULATIONS -- PREDICTIONS ON VACCINE DEVELOPMENT -- Probability of Successful Development -- Cost of Development -- Time to Licensure -- PREDICTIONS ON VACCINE CHARACTERISTICS -- Efficacy -- Adverse Reactions -- Production Technology, Delivery Requirements, and Cost per Dose -- Number of Doses and Route of Administration -- CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCE
